CRL
Moving with its group (XLV +2.5%)
- CRL +1.61% on the last session vs SPY +0.00%: +1.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- The health care ETF (XLV) +2.5% (+2.5 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CRL only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
308.86 +2.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
317.56 +5.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 306.86 · prior close 302.00 | |
| Bargain buy side |
295.29 -2.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
287.20 -4.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 293.14 | 2 in 10 days | 311.13 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 295.29 | 3 in 10 days | 308.86 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 297.30 | 4 in 10 days | 306.77 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 282.55 | 2 in 10 weeks | 322.79 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 287.20 | 3 in 10 weeks | 317.56 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 291.60 | 4 in 10 weeks | 312.77 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CRL's daily swings (about 2.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among CRL's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Sep 24, 2021 |
458.30 +49.4% |
| Highest analyst target | 357.00 +16.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 317.56 +3.5% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 5, 2026 |
310.77 +1.3% |
| Mean analyst target | 310.53 +1.2% |
| Now | 306.86 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
302.00 -1.6% |
| 50-day average | 288.20 -6.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 287.20 -6.4% |
| 200-day average | 214.61 -30.1% |
| 52-week closing low May 18, 2026 |
149.93 -51.1% |
| Lowest analyst target | 145.00 -52.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 26 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.