CWST
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CWST only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
96.31 +3.2% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 days · 26% vs usual 28% |
100.13 +7.3% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 26% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 95.27 · prior close 93.33 | |
| Bargain buy side |
90.44 -3.1% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 26% |
86.99 -6.8% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 89.52 | 2 in 10 days↓ 16% vs 17% | 97.30 | 2 in 10 days↓ 16% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 90.44 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 26% | 96.31 | 3 in 10 days↓ 26% vs 28% |
| Eager | 91.31 | 4 in 10 days | 95.40 | 4 in 10 days↓ 42% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 85.03 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 102.44 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 15% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 86.99 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 100.13 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 26% vs 30% |
| Eager | 88.86 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 40% vs 43% | 98.02 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 44% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CWST's daily swings (about 3.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 26% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 8 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 8 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 26% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | +5.7% | +12.0% | — | — |
| Oct 2, 2026 | +6.0% | +1.2% | — | — |
| Sep 3, 2026 | +2.7% | -6.3% | -13.1% | — |
| Aug 19, 2026 | +3.3% | +1.0% | -4.1% | — |
| Aug 11, 2026 | +2.8% | -2.8% | -2.8% | — |
| Jul 28, 2026 | +2.0% | +0.4% | +2.9% | +5.6% |
| Jul 16, 2026 | +3.7% | -9.9% | -9.2% | -18.1% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | +2.2% | -0.7% | -5.6% | -19.9% |
Big drop and big gain: among CWST's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high May 6, 2025 |
120.37 +26.3% |
| 52-week closing high Feb 11, 2026 |
107.34 +12.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 100.13 +5.1% |
| Now | 95.27 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
93.33 -2.0% |
| 200-day average | 90.04 -5.5% |
| 50-day average | 88.82 -6.8% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 86.99 -8.7% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 27, 2026 |
74.97 -21.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 29 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.