D
Moving with the market
- D −0.07% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: −0.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices D only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
63.35 +0.9% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
64.03 +2.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 62.76 · prior close 62.80 | |
| Bargain buy side |
62.26 -0.9% reached 3 in 10 days |
61.59 -1.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 62.08 | 2 in 10 days | 63.53 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 62.26 | 3 in 10 days | 63.35 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 62.42 | 4 in 10 days | 63.18 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 61.21 | 2 in 10 weeks | 64.43 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 61.59 | 3 in 10 weeks | 64.03 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 61.96 | 4 in 10 weeks | 63.65 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From D's daily swings (about 0.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among D's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 87.00 +38.6% |
| All-time closing high Apr 8, 2022 |
71.80 +14.4% |
| Mean analyst target | 71.58 +14.1% |
| 52-week closing high Jul 16, 2026 |
70.97 +13.1% |
| 50-day average | 64.27 +2.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 64.03 +2.0% |
| 200-day average | 63.49 +1.2% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
62.80 +0.1% |
| Now | 62.76 |
| Lowest analyst target | 62.00 -1.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 61.59 -1.8% |
| 52-week closing low Jan 7, 2026 |
55.36 -11.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 47 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.