DAL
Moving with the market
- DAL 0.00% on the last session vs SPY +0.01%: −0.0 pts of stock-specific move.
- Reported 3Q2026 Oct 9 before the open: EPS $1.72 vs $1.76 expected (miss, −$0.04, −2.1%); revenue $20.2B (+6.7% beat). The stock moved +0.0% on Fri's session (-0.6 pts vs SPY).
- Aftermath, big drop (Oct 14): After its 47 big drops in the past 5 years, DAL was higher a month later 29 times out of 47; half the outcomes fell between -5.7% and +11.8%. History, not a forecast.
- 0 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 82% positive over the week.
- 6 analyst actions in the past 10 days (1 positive, 5 negative); latest: Susquehanna maintained Positive, lowered target $100 → $95.00.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices DAL only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
77.99 +1.8% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
79.68 +4.0% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 76.65 · prior close 76.65 | |
| Bargain buy side |
75.33 -1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
73.73 -3.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 74.91 | 2 in 10 days | 78.43 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 75.33 | 3 in 10 days | 77.99 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 75.73 | 4 in 10 days | 77.58 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 72.81 | 2 in 10 weeks | 80.70 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 73.73 | 3 in 10 weeks | 79.68 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 74.60 | 4 in 10 weeks | 78.75 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From DAL's daily swings (about 1.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | -2.8% | -0.3% | -4.4% | — |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -3.5% | +8.0% | -5.9% | — |
| Jul 17, 2026 | -2.9% | +1.1% | +4.1% | — |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -3.3% | -3.3% | +5.3% | -6.0% |
| Jun 10, 2026 | -5.8% | +7.6% | +13.0% | +2.6% |
| May 19, 2026 | -3.5% | +20.7% | +24.2% | +23.2% |
| May 11, 2026 | -2.9% | -1.1% | +7.7% | +27.6% |
| Apr 16, 2026 | -2.9% | -2.2% | +0.8% | +21.0% |
Big drop and big gain: among DAL's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 125.00 +63.1% |
| Mean analyst target | 101.28 +32.1% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 30, 2026 |
93.43 +21.9% |
| 50-day average | 82.61 +7.8% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 79.68 +4.0% |
| Now | 76.65 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
76.65 0.0% |
| 200-day average | 76.02 -0.8% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 73.73 -3.8% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 4, 2025 |
55.22 -28.0% |
| Lowest analyst target | 53.00 -30.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 19 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.