DASH
Moving with its group (IBUY +3.1%)
- DASH +4.05% on the last session vs SPY +0.09%: +4.0 pts of stock-specific move.
- The online retail ETF (IBUY) +3.1% (+3.0 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, big gain (+4.0% today so far, past its big-gain line of +3.2%): After its 47 big gains in the past 5 years, DASH was higher a month later 29 times out of 47; half the outcomes fell between -3.8% and +10.5%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Wells Fargo maintained Equal-Weight, raised target $225 → $230.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices DASH only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
188.87 +2.6% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% reached today |
195.05 +6.0% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 191.46 · prior close 184.01 | |
| Bargain buy side |
179.28 -2.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
173.59 -5.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 177.76 | 2 in 10 days | 190.48 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 179.28 | 3 in 10 days | 188.87 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 180.70 | 4 in 10 days | 187.39 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 170.34 | 2 in 10 weeks | 198.78 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 173.59 | 3 in 10 weeks | 195.05 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 176.68 | 4 in 10 weeks | 191.64 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From DASH's daily swings (about 2.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | -7.7% | +7.5% | — | — |
| Sep 4, 2026 | -4.6% | -3.9% | -8.6% | — |
| Aug 10, 2026 | -3.0% | +1.4% | -6.0% | — |
| Jul 22, 2026 | -5.5% | +8.9% | +25.1% | — |
| Jul 8, 2026 | -3.3% | +0.4% | +12.6% | +2.3% |
| Jun 10, 2026 | -3.0% | +9.7% | +25.5% | +33.1% |
| May 26, 2026 | -3.9% | +1.9% | +14.9% | +51.6% |
| May 13, 2026 | -3.9% | +7.8% | +1.0% | +45.1% |
Big drop and big gain: among DASH's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 350.00 +82.8% |
| All-time closing high Oct 6, 2025 |
281.74 +47.2% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 15, 2025 |
272.61 +42.4% |
| Mean analyst target | 257.25 +34.4% |
| 50-day average | 205.37 +7.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 195.05 +1.9% |
| Now | 191.46 |
| 200-day average | 184.97 -3.4% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
184.01 -3.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 173.59 -9.3% |
| Lowest analyst target | 172.00 -10.2% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 27, 2026 |
146.60 -23.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 6 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.