DECK
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- DECK +4.41% on the last session vs SPY +0.12%: +4.3 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Oct 22 after the close: EPS $1.79 expected (19 analysts); it moved ±12.6% on average after its last 8 reports.
- Aftermath, big gain (+4.4% today so far, past its big-gain line of +3.0%): After its 58 big gains in the past 5 years, DECK was higher a month later 34 times out of 58; half the outcomes fell between -6.2% and +10.2%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices DECK only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
84.22 +1.7% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
85.98 +3.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 86.47 · prior close 82.82 | |
| Bargain buy side |
81.44 -1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
79.78 -3.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 81.00 | 2 in 10 days | 84.68 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 81.44 | 3 in 10 days | 84.22 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 81.86 | 4 in 10 days | 83.79 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 78.81 | 2 in 10 weeks | 87.03 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 79.78 | 3 in 10 weeks | 85.98 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 80.69 | 4 in 10 weeks | 85.01 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From DECK's daily swings (about 1.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among DECK's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jan 30, 2025 |
223.11 +158.0% |
| Highest analyst target | 184.00 +112.8% |
| 52-week closing high Feb 24, 2026 |
120.94 +39.9% |
| Mean analyst target | 120.41 +39.2% |
| 200-day average | 100.42 +16.1% |
| Now | 86.47 |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 85.98 -0.6% |
| 50-day average | 84.77 -2.0% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
82.82 -4.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 79.78 -7.7% |
| 52-week closing low Sep 15, 2026 |
77.51 -10.4% |
| Lowest analyst target | 70.00 -19.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 33 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.