DHR
Moving with its group (XLV +2.6%)
- DHR +2.51% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +2.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Wed before the open: EPS $1.92 expected (20 analysts); it moved ±5.1% on average after its last 8 reports.
- The health care ETF (XLV) +2.6% (+2.5 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, big gain (+2.5% today so far, past its big-gain line of +2.1%): After its 62 big gains in the past 5 years, DHR was higher a day later 36 times out of 62; half the outcomes fell between -0.8% and +1.4%. History, not a forecast.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (2 positive, 0 negative); latest: Barclays maintained Overweight, raised target $230 → $255.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices DHR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
228.66 +1.8% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
233.65 +4.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 230.34 · prior close 224.69 | |
| Bargain buy side |
220.79 -1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
216.07 -3.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 219.54 | 2 in 10 days | 229.96 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 220.79 | 3 in 10 days | 228.66 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 221.97 | 4 in 10 days | 227.45 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 213.34 | 2 in 10 weeks | 236.64 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 216.07 | 3 in 10 weeks | 233.65 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 218.64 | 4 in 10 weeks | 230.90 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From DHR's daily swings (about 1.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among DHR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 310.00 +34.6% |
| All-time closing high Sep 3, 2021 |
287.09 +24.6% |
| Mean analyst target | 241.00 +4.6% |
| 52-week closing high Jan 21, 2026 |
240.61 +4.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 233.65 +1.4% |
| Now | 230.34 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
224.69 -2.5% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 216.07 -6.2% |
| 50-day average | 213.01 -7.5% |
| 200-day average | 200.60 -12.9% |
| Lowest analyst target | 200.00 -13.2% |
| 52-week closing low May 15, 2026 |
161.29 -30.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 48 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.