DJT
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- DJT −1.73% on the last session vs SPY −0.06%: −1.7 pts of stock-specific move.
- 0 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 65% positive over the week.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices DJT only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
8.19 +2.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
8.46 +6.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 7.97 | |
| Bargain buy side |
7.76 -2.6% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
7.51 -5.8% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 7.69 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 8.26 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 7.76 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 8.19 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 7.82 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 8.12 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 7.36 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 8.63 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 7.51 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 8.46 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 7.64 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 8.31 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From DJT's daily swings (about 2.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 12 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 12 close
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among DJT's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Mar 4, 2022 |
97.54 +1123.8% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 9, 2025 |
17.07 +114.2% |
| 200-day average | 9.82 +23.2% |
| 50-day average | 8.98 +12.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 8.46 +6.2% |
| Last close Oct 12, 2026 |
7.97 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 7.51 -5.8% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 25, 2026 |
7.06 -11.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 5 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.