DLR

Moving with the market

• DLR +1.17% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: +0.4 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, crossed below 200-day avg (Sep 28): After its 7 crosses below the 200-day average in the past 5 years, DLR typically lost 0.3% over the next day (median) and was higher only 43% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -0.8% and +0.9%. An ordinary day: +0.1%. Among S&P 500 stocks after crosses below the 200-day average, that ranks #373 of 497. (Low confidence: few independent periods.)
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.