DRIP
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices DRIP only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
30.45 +3.2% ↑ more often after a new 52-week low
reached 4 in 10 days · 36% vs usual 28% |
31.67 +7.4% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 29.49 | |
| Bargain buy side |
28.56 -3.1% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
27.46 -6.9% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 28.27 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 30.76 | 3 in 10 days↑ 25% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 28.56 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 30.45 | 4 in 10 days↑ 36% vs 28% |
| Eager | 28.84 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 30.15 | 5 in 10 days↑ 52% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 26.83 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 32.42 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 27.46 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 31.67 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 28.06 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 31.00 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From DRIP's daily swings (about 3.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 23 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 23 close
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | -5.8% | -0.3% | — | — |
| Oct 1, 2026 | -5.5% | -9.3% | — | — |
| Sep 15, 2026 | -6.6% | +19.3% | +0.2% | — |
| Aug 10, 2026 | -11.4% | -7.9% | -18.5% | — |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -6.8% | +7.9% | -15.1% | — |
| Jul 17, 2026 | -4.5% | -4.5% | -15.5% | -26.8% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -4.3% | -10.3% | -11.0% | -32.5% |
| Jun 10, 2026 | -4.8% | +16.1% | +1.4% | -29.1% |
- Stretch price, next session: reached 36% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | -5.8% | -0.3% | — | — |
| Aug 14, 2026 | -1.4% | -9.3% | -18.6% | — |
| Feb 27, 2026 | -5.1% | -12.8% | -32.8% | -17.8% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | -0.8% | -7.0% | -19.7% | -39.2% |
| Dec 3, 2025 | -5.1% | +2.0% | +12.7% | -33.9% |
| Sep 2, 2025 | -2.4% | +8.6% | -2.0% | -4.7% |
| Jun 17, 2025 | -2.5% | +12.5% | +6.9% | -0.1% |
| Mar 21, 2024 | -0.6% | -4.2% | -3.3% | +12.9% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among DRIP's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jan 20, 2016 |
71,106.13 +241019.5% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 22, 2025 |
92.63 +214.1% |
| 200-day average | 47.43 +60.8% |
| 50-day average | 33.79 +14.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 31.67 +7.4% |
| Last close Oct 23, 2026 |
29.49 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 23, 2026 |
29.49 0.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 27.46 -6.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 11 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.