ECHO

Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet

• ECHO +6.80% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: +6.1 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, big gain (Oct 2): After its 72 big gains in the past 5 years, ECHO typically lost 0.6% over the next day (median) and was higher only 47% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -2.5% and +2.3%. An ordinary day: +0.0%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big gains, that ranks #344 of 500.
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.