ECO
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices ECO only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
104.79 +3.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
109.23 +7.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 101.33 | |
| Bargain buy side |
97.98 -3.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
94.00 -7.2% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 96.92 | 2 in 10 days | 105.94 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 97.98 | 3 in 10 days | 104.79 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 98.99 | 4 in 10 days | 103.73 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 91.74 | 2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18% | 111.92 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 94.00 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27% | 109.23 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 96.16 | 4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43% | 106.77 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ECO's daily swings (about 3.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among ECO's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 109.23 +7.8% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 29, 2026 |
101.63 +0.3% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
101.33 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 94.00 -7.2% |
| 50-day average | 82.41 -18.7% |
| 200-day average | 55.05 -45.7% |
| 52-week closing low Jan 2, 2026 |
27.39 -73.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 3 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.