EE
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- EE −2.43% on the last session vs SPY +0.13%: −2.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices EE only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
33.96 +2.5% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
35.00 +5.6% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 32.33 · prior close 33.14 | |
| Bargain buy side |
32.34 -2.4% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
31.37 -5.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 32.08 | 2 in 10 days | 34.23 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 32.34 | 3 in 10 days | 33.96 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 32.58 | 4 in 10 days | 33.71 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 30.82 | 2 in 10 weeks | 35.63 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 31.37 | 3 in 10 weeks | 35.00 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 31.90 | 4 in 10 weeks | 34.43 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From EE's daily swings (about 2.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | -4.8% | -4.1% | -7.8% | — |
| Aug 7, 2026 | -7.9% | +5.0% | +13.0% | — |
| Jul 9, 2026 | -3.1% | +3.0% | -9.0% | -8.4% |
| May 27, 2026 | -4.4% | -5.9% | +9.4% | +14.0% |
| May 6, 2026 | -3.4% | +5.5% | -5.9% | +10.5% |
| Apr 1, 2026 | -3.7% | +8.0% | +7.1% | +18.4% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | -5.5% | +1.4% | +3.3% | +9.1% |
| Mar 10, 2026 | -3.2% | -3.5% | -3.2% | -10.3% |
Big drop and big gain: among EE's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Feb 25, 2026 |
42.60 +31.7% |
| 50-day average | 36.31 +12.3% |
| 200-day average | 35.69 +10.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 35.00 +8.3% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
33.14 +2.5% |
| Now | 32.33 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 31.37 -3.0% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 27, 2025 |
24.99 -22.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 4 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.