EG
Moving with its group (XLF +0.8%)
- EG +1.07% on the last session vs SPY −0.03%: +1.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- The financials ETF (XLF) +0.8% (+0.8 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, big gain (Oct 8): After its 68 big gains in the past 5 years, EG was higher a week later 32 times out of 68; half the outcomes fell between -1.4% and +2.0%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: Mizuho maintained Neutral, lowered target $416 → $398.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices EG only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
379.67 +1.1% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
384.93 +2.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 379.49 · prior close 375.47 | |
| Bargain buy side |
371.32 -1.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
366.25 -2.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 369.98 | 2 in 10 days | 381.04 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 371.32 | 3 in 10 days | 379.67 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 372.57 | 4 in 10 days | 378.39 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 363.30 | 2 in 10 weeks | 388.05 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 366.25 | 3 in 10 weeks | 384.93 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 369.01 | 4 in 10 weeks | 382.04 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From EG's daily swings (about 1.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among EG's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 480.00 +26.5% |
| Mean analyst target | 409.69 +8.0% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jul 28, 2026 |
396.54 +4.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 384.93 +1.4% |
| Now | 379.49 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
375.47 -1.1% |
| 50-day average | 371.26 -2.2% |
| Lowest analyst target | 368.00 -3.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 366.25 -3.5% |
| 200-day average | 346.71 -8.6% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 28, 2025 |
299.59 -21.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 31 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.