ENR
Moving with the market
- ENR +0.50% on the last session vs SPY +0.04%: +0.5 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices ENR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
22.38 +2.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
22.96 +4.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 22.03 · prior close 21.92 | |
| Bargain buy side |
21.47 -2.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
20.92 -4.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 21.32 | 2 in 10 days | 22.53 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 21.47 | 3 in 10 days | 22.38 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 21.60 | 4 in 10 days | 22.24 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 20.61 | 2 in 10 weeks | 23.31 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 20.92 | 3 in 10 weeks | 22.96 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 21.22 | 4 in 10 weeks | 22.64 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ENR's daily swings (about 2.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among ENR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jul 26, 2018 |
48.30 +119.2% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 21, 2025 |
23.65 +7.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 22.96 +4.2% |
| Now | 22.03 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
21.92 -0.5% |
| 50-day average | 21.55 -2.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 20.92 -5.0% |
| 200-day average | 19.86 -9.9% |
| 52-week closing low May 19, 2026 |
15.72 -28.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 11 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.