ENRD
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- ENRD +6.41% on the last session vs SPY −0.00%: +6.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices ENRD only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
2.50 +6.9% reached 3 in 10 days |
2.72 +16.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 2.49 · prior close 2.34 | |
| Bargain buy side |
2.19 -6.5% reached 3 in 10 days |
2.01 -13.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 2.14 | 2 in 10 days | 2.56 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 2.19 | 3 in 10 days | 2.50 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 2.23 | 4 in 10 days | 2.45 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 1.92 | 2 in 10 weeks | 2.85 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 2.01 | 3 in 10 weeks | 2.72 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 2.11 | 4 in 10 weeks | 2.60 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ENRD's daily swings (about 6.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among ENRD's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 10, 2026 |
14.99 +502.0% |
| 50-day average | 4.40 +76.8% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 2.72 +9.2% |
| Now | 2.49 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 14, 2026 |
2.34 -6.0% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
2.34 -6.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 2.01 -19.1% |
Closing prices. Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.