EOSE
Reddit attention is surging
- EOSE +2.57% on the last session vs SPY +0.09%: +2.5 pts of stock-specific move.
- 2 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices EOSE only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
2.09 +7.2% ↑ more often after a new 52-week low
reached 4 in 10 days · 36% vs usual 28% |
2.28 +16.9% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 2.00 · prior close 1.95 | |
| Bargain buy side |
1.82 -6.7% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
1.67 -14.4% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 1.78 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 2.14 | 3 in 10 days↑ 25% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 1.82 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 2.09 | 4 in 10 days↑ 36% vs 28% |
| Eager | 1.86 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 2.05 | 5 in 10 days↑ 52% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 1.59 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 2.40 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 1.67 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 2.28 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 1.75 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 2.17 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From EOSE's daily swings (about 7.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | -10.8% | — | — | — |
| Sep 23, 2026 | -11.8% | -14.4% | — | — |
| Aug 20, 2026 | -7.5% | -1.2% | +17.6% | — |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -6.8% | +21.7% | +8.9% | — |
| Jul 16, 2026 | -9.4% | -6.1% | +1.5% | -50.8% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | -11.6% | -9.4% | -42.7% | -37.4% |
| Jun 3, 2026 | -13.0% | -26.0% | -38.3% | -56.0% |
| May 19, 2026 | -7.4% | +25.1% | +11.2% | -45.6% |
- Stretch price, next session: reached 36% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | -10.8% | — | — | — |
| Sep 1, 2026 | -5.6% | +36.5% | +3.3% | — |
| Jul 13, 2026 | -1.1% | -6.7% | -2.5% | -42.1% |
| Apr 18, 2024 | -6.6% | -2.9% | -7.3% | +146.8% |
| Jan 3, 2024 | -5.2% | -6.9% | +21.6% | -1.1% |
| Nov 18, 2022 | -4.3% | -6.3% | -2.7% | +80.2% |
| May 20, 2022 | -5.1% | +33.9% | +25.0% | +83.9% |
| Apr 20, 2022 | -7.9% | -15.7% | -53.7% | +13.7% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among EOSE's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jan 12, 2021 |
30.44 +1421.9% |
| 52-week closing high Nov 10, 2025 |
19.19 +859.5% |
| Highest analyst target | 10.00 +400.0% |
| 200-day average | 6.94 +247.0% |
| Mean analyst target | 6.50 +225.0% |
| Lowest analyst target | 4.00 +100.0% |
| 50-day average | 3.50 +75.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 2.28 +14.0% |
| Now | 2.00 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 14, 2026 |
1.95 -2.5% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
1.95 -2.5% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 1.67 -16.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 6 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.