EW
Moving with the market
- EW +0.10% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +0.0 pts of stock-specific move.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 0 negative); latest: Barclays started coverage at Overweight, target $110.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices EW only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
87.68 +1.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
89.22 +3.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 86.54 · prior close 86.45 | |
| Bargain buy side |
85.24 -1.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
83.77 -3.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 84.85 | 2 in 10 days | 88.08 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 85.24 | 3 in 10 days | 87.68 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 85.60 | 4 in 10 days | 87.30 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 82.91 | 2 in 10 weeks | 90.14 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 83.77 | 3 in 10 weeks | 89.22 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 84.57 | 4 in 10 weeks | 88.37 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From EW's daily swings (about 1.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among EW's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Dec 30, 2021 |
130.68 +51.0% |
| Highest analyst target | 110.00 +27.1% |
| Mean analyst target | 101.96 +17.8% |
| 52-week closing high Jul 6, 2026 |
95.18 +10.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 89.22 +3.1% |
| 50-day average | 88.44 +2.2% |
| Now | 86.54 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
86.45 -0.1% |
| 200-day average | 85.13 -1.6% |
| Lowest analyst target | 84.00 -2.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 83.77 -3.2% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 16, 2025 |
72.65 -16.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 27 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.