EXE

Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet

• EXE −0.51% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −1.3 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, 52-week low (Sep 28): After its 4 new 52-week lows in the past 5 years, EXE typically gained 0.3% over the next day (median) and was higher 50% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -1.5% and +2.0%. An ordinary day: +0.0%. Among S&P 500 stocks after new 52-week lows, that ranks #120 of 272. (Low confidence: few independent periods.)
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.