EXTR
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- EXTR −0.80% on the last session vs SPY +0.01%: −0.8 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices EXTR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
23.07 +2.7% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
23.85 +6.2% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 22.28 · prior close 22.46 | |
| Bargain buy side |
21.87 -2.6% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
21.15 -5.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 21.68 | 2 in 10 days | 23.27 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 21.87 | 3 in 10 days | 23.07 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 22.04 | 4 in 10 days | 22.88 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 20.74 | 2 in 10 weeks | 24.32 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 21.15 | 3 in 10 weeks | 23.85 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 21.54 | 4 in 10 weeks | 23.42 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From EXTR's daily swings (about 2.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | -3.2% | -1.5% | +0.9% | — |
| Aug 19, 2026 | -4.0% | +0.2% | -2.1% | — |
| Aug 6, 2026 | -7.1% | -1.1% | -10.8% | — |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -3.1% | -9.9% | -20.1% | — |
| Jul 15, 2026 | -7.6% | -0.8% | -21.1% | -23.0% |
| Jul 1, 2026 | -2.9% | +4.6% | -4.1% | -31.8% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -5.4% | +11.0% | +11.1% | -22.6% |
| May 12, 2026 | -6.3% | +3.3% | +36.3% | +7.2% |
Big drop and big gain: among EXTR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Sep 22, 2000 |
124.00 +456.6% |
| 52-week closing high Jul 10, 2026 |
33.71 +51.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 23.85 +7.0% |
| 50-day average | 22.72 +2.0% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
22.46 +0.8% |
| Now | 22.28 |
| 200-day average | 21.70 -2.6% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 21.15 -5.1% |
| 52-week closing low Feb 24, 2026 |
13.74 -38.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 27 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.