F

Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet

• F −1.39% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −2.1 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, rsi oversold (Sep 30): After its 10 oversold readings in the past 5 years, F typically gained 4.6% over the next month (median) and was higher 80% of the time; half the outcomes fell between +1.0% and +6.1%. An ordinary month: +0.7%. Among S&P 500 stocks after oversold readings, that ranks #32 of 495.
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.