FA
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices FA only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
22.19 +2.8% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
22.97 +6.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 22.01 · prior close 21.59 | |
| Bargain buy side |
21.00 -2.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
20.30 -6.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 20.81 | 2 in 10 days | 22.39 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 21.00 | 3 in 10 days | 22.19 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 21.18 | 4 in 10 days | 22.01 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 19.89 | 2 in 10 weeks | 23.43 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 20.30 | 3 in 10 weeks | 22.97 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 20.68 | 4 in 10 weeks | 22.54 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From FA's daily swings (about 2.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among FA's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 6, 2026 |
24.12 +9.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 22.97 +4.3% |
| Now | 22.01 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
21.59 -1.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 20.30 -7.8% |
| 50-day average | 20.12 -8.6% |
| 200-day average | 16.37 -25.6% |
| 52-week closing low Feb 23, 2026 |
8.95 -59.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 5 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.