FDX
Moving with the market
- FDX +0.48% on the last session vs SPY −0.09%: +0.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- 3 analyst actions in the past 10 days (1 positive, 2 negative); latest: Truist Securities maintained Buy, lowered target $365 → $350.
- 2 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices FDX only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
295.02 +1.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
299.70 +2.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 292.68 · prior close 291.28 | |
| Bargain buy side |
287.59 -1.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
283.09 -2.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 286.40 | 2 in 10 days | 296.24 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 287.59 | 3 in 10 days | 295.02 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 288.70 | 4 in 10 days | 293.88 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 280.48 | 2 in 10 weeks | 302.49 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 283.09 | 3 in 10 weeks | 299.70 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 285.55 | 4 in 10 weeks | 297.13 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From FDX's daily swings (about 1.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among FDX's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 479.00 +63.7% |
| Mean analyst target | 355.50 +21.5% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 13, 2026 |
338.02 +15.5% |
| 50-day average | 309.11 +5.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 299.70 +2.4% |
| 200-day average | 299.65 +2.4% |
| Now | 292.68 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
291.28 -0.5% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 283.09 -3.3% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 14, 2025 |
185.94 -36.5% |
| Lowest analyst target | 160.00 -45.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 49 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.