FLUT
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices FLUT only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
84.95 +2.9% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 days · 26% vs usual 28% reached today |
87.95 +6.5% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 26% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 85.77 · prior close 82.59 | |
| Bargain buy side |
80.30 -2.8% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 26% |
77.56 -6.1% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 79.57 | 2 in 10 days↓ 16% vs 17% | 85.72 | 2 in 10 days↓ 16% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 80.30 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 26% | 84.95 | 3 in 10 days↓ 26% vs 28% |
| Eager | 80.99 | 4 in 10 days | 84.23 | 4 in 10 days↓ 42% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 75.99 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 89.76 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 15% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 77.56 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 87.95 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 26% vs 30% |
| Eager | 79.05 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 40% vs 43% | 86.29 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 44% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From FLUT's daily swings (about 2.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 26% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 8 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 8 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 26% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | +4.4% | -3.1% | — | — |
| Oct 8, 2026 | +7.6% | -6.6% | — | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | +7.1% | -1.6% | -26.9% | — |
| Aug 19, 2026 | +6.7% | -1.1% | -9.7% | — |
| Aug 11, 2026 | +5.0% | -6.2% | -0.3% | — |
| Jul 27, 2026 | +4.5% | +0.1% | -3.6% | -24.3% |
| Jul 8, 2026 | +2.7% | -1.2% | -16.4% | -31.5% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | +8.3% | +3.1% | +4.7% | -20.1% |
Big drop and big gain: among FLUT's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Aug 28, 2025 |
308.60 +259.8% |
| 52-week closing high Nov 12, 2025 |
234.45 +173.3% |
| 200-day average | 106.11 +23.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 87.95 +2.5% |
| 50-day average | 86.73 +1.1% |
| Now | 85.77 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
82.59 -3.7% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 77.56 -9.6% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 14, 2026 |
74.26 -13.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 24 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.