FLY
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices FLY only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
18.82 +4.9% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
19.97 +11.4% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 17.93 | |
| Bargain buy side |
17.09 -4.7% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
16.10 -10.2% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 16.83 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 19.12 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 17.09 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 18.82 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 17.34 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 18.55 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 15.55 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 20.69 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 16.10 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 19.97 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 16.64 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 19.33 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From FLY's daily swings (about 5.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among FLY's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Aug 7, 2025 |
60.35 +236.5% |
| 52-week closing high May 26, 2026 |
58.81 +227.9% |
| Highest analyst target | 50.00 +178.8% |
| Mean analyst target | 38.00 +111.9% |
| 200-day average | 27.20 +51.6% |
| Lowest analyst target | 25.00 +39.4% |
| 50-day average | 20.87 +16.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 19.97 +11.4% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
17.93 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 20, 2026 |
16.31 -9.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 16.10 -10.2% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 1 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.