FOX
Moving with its group (XLC +1.2%)
- FOX +1.28% on the last session vs SPY −0.08%: +1.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- The communications ETF (XLC) +1.2% (+1.3 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, crossed above 200-day avg ($56.39 today so far, above its 200-day average of $56.10): After its 10 crosses above the 200-day average in the past 5 years, FOX was higher a week later 7 times out of 10; half the outcomes fell between -0.8% and +3.3%. History, not a forecast.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices FOX only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
56.56 +1.6% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
57.67 +3.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 56.39 · prior close 55.68 | |
| Bargain buy side |
54.81 -1.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
53.75 -3.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 54.53 | 2 in 10 days | 56.85 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 54.81 | 3 in 10 days | 56.56 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 55.07 | 4 in 10 days | 56.29 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 53.14 | 2 in 10 weeks | 58.34 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 53.75 | 3 in 10 weeks | 57.67 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 54.33 | 4 in 10 weeks | 57.06 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From FOX's daily swings (about 1.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among FOX's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jan 5, 2026 |
67.07 +18.9% |
| 50-day average | 58.09 +3.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 57.67 +2.3% |
| Now | 56.39 |
| 200-day average | 56.06 -0.6% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
55.68 -1.3% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 53.75 -4.7% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 25, 2026 |
44.17 -21.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 8 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.