FRHC
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices FRHC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
191.48 +2.4% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 28% |
197.16 +5.4% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 27% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 189.10 · prior close 187.00 | |
| Bargain buy side |
182.63 -2.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
177.36 -5.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 181.23 | 2 in 10 days | 192.95 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 182.63 | 3 in 10 days | 191.48 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 28% |
| Eager | 183.94 | 4 in 10 days | 190.11 | 4 in 10 days↓ 43% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 174.34 | 2 in 10 weeks | 200.58 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 177.36 | 3 in 10 weeks | 197.16 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 27% vs 30% |
| Eager | 180.23 | 4 in 10 weeks | 194.03 | 5 in 10 weeks↓ 45% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From FRHC's daily swings (about 2.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 27% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | +4.6% | — | — | — |
| Sep 24, 2026 | +2.1% | -1.7% | -2.9% | — |
| Jul 31, 2025 | +4.9% | +0.1% | -8.0% | -15.8% |
| May 13, 2025 | +2.1% | +11.9% | -6.9% | +6.4% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | +2.0% | +7.6% | -14.6% | +4.1% |
| Jan 3, 2025 | +0.6% | -6.8% | +9.4% | -14.2% |
| Nov 14, 2024 | +1.7% | +0.6% | +14.6% | +34.3% |
| Oct 15, 2024 | +0.4% | +7.6% | +15.1% | +34.6% |
Big drop and big gain: among FRHC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 197.16 +4.3% |
| All-time closing high Aug 6, 2025 |
190.14 +0.5% |
| Now | 189.10 |
| 52-week closing high Nov 2, 2026 |
189.10 0.0% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
187.00 -1.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 177.36 -6.2% |
| 50-day average | 171.29 -9.4% |
| 200-day average | 149.13 -21.1% |
| 52-week closing low Feb 19, 2026 |
112.03 -40.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 9 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.