FTV
Moving with the market
- FTV +0.16% on the last session vs SPY +0.12%: +0.0 pts of stock-specific move.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 2 negative); latest: JP Morgan maintained Underweight, lowered target $64.00 → $56.00.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices FTV only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
58.03 +1.4% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
59.02 +3.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 57.33 · prior close 57.24 | |
| Bargain buy side |
56.46 -1.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
55.51 -3.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 56.21 | 2 in 10 days | 58.29 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 56.46 | 3 in 10 days | 58.03 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 56.70 | 4 in 10 days | 57.79 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 54.96 | 2 in 10 weeks | 59.61 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 55.51 | 3 in 10 weeks | 59.02 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 56.03 | 4 in 10 weeks | 58.48 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From FTV's daily swings (about 1.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among FTV's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 72.00 +25.6% |
| All-time closing high Feb 28, 2024 |
64.32 +12.2% |
| 52-week closing high Jul 28, 2026 |
64.01 +11.7% |
| Mean analyst target | 63.07 +10.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 59.02 +3.0% |
| 200-day average | 58.26 +1.6% |
| 50-day average | 57.73 +0.7% |
| Now | 57.33 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
57.24 -0.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 55.51 -3.2% |
| Lowest analyst target | 51.00 -11.0% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 15, 2025 |
48.28 -15.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 10 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.