FUN
Analyst cuts weighing on the stock
- FUN −3.52% on the last session vs SPY +0.09%: −3.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, 52-week low ($8.62 today so far, below its 52-week closing low of $8.94): After its 8 new 52-week lows in the past 5 years, FUN was higher a month later 2 times out of 8; half the outcomes fell between -19.2% and -0.3%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 100% positive over the week · today's pace is 2.2× its recent daily average.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: Citigroup maintained Neutral, lowered target $17.00 → $13.00.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 1.9× its 20-day average.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices FUN only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
9.48 +6.0% ↑ more often after a new 52-week low
reached 4 in 10 days · 36% vs usual 28% |
10.19 +14.0% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 8.62 · prior close 8.94 | |
| Bargain buy side |
8.43 -5.7% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
7.84 -12.3% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 8.27 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 9.66 | 3 in 10 days↑ 25% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 8.43 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 9.48 | 4 in 10 days↑ 36% vs 28% |
| Eager | 8.58 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 9.31 | 5 in 10 days↑ 52% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 7.51 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 10.64 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 7.84 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 10.19 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 8.16 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 9.80 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From FUN's daily swings (about 6.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | -14.4% | — | — | — |
| Sep 28, 2026 | -6.3% | +5.1% | — | — |
| Sep 9, 2026 | -9.2% | -13.4% | -20.2% | — |
| Aug 31, 2026 | -7.2% | +4.6% | -28.8% | — |
| Aug 17, 2026 | -4.9% | +8.4% | -20.7% | — |
| Aug 6, 2026 | -16.0% | +5.9% | -1.5% | — |
| Jul 17, 2026 | -7.6% | -0.9% | -11.0% | — |
| Jul 6, 2026 | -6.9% | -3.2% | -7.2% | -40.7% |
- Stretch price, next session: reached 36% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | -3.4% | -3.4% | -29.8% | — |
| Nov 11, 2025 | -5.6% | -9.3% | -2.1% | +7.1% |
| Oct 10, 2025 | -5.1% | +4.1% | -18.5% | -20.9% |
| Aug 27, 2025 | -1.1% | +7.8% | -7.7% | -38.2% |
| Jul 15, 2025 | -5.0% | +15.8% | -3.4% | -24.5% |
| Mar 10, 2025 | -4.3% | +7.9% | -21.5% | -11.7% |
| Oct 13, 2023 | -2.5% | +0.7% | +7.2% | +13.7% |
| Jul 14, 2023 | -0.7% | -4.4% | +4.9% | -4.0% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among FUN's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Feb 11, 2022 |
58.26 +575.4% |
| Highest analyst target | 28.00 +224.6% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 27, 2025 |
26.74 +210.0% |
| Mean analyst target | 20.38 +136.3% |
| 200-day average | 17.38 +101.4% |
| 50-day average | 13.76 +59.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 10.19 +18.2% |
| Lowest analyst target | 10.00 +15.9% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
8.94 +3.7% |
| Now | 8.62 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 15, 2026 |
8.62 0.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 7.84 -9.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 39 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.