GD
Moving with the market
- GD +0.44% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +0.3 pts of stock-specific move.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 2 negative); latest: TD Cowen maintained Buy, lowered target $420 → $380.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GD only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
338.01 +1.0% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
342.20 +2.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 336.14 · prior close 334.66 | |
| Bargain buy side |
331.34 -1.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
327.29 -2.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 330.27 | 2 in 10 days | 339.10 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 331.34 | 3 in 10 days | 338.01 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 332.34 | 4 in 10 days | 336.99 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 324.93 | 2 in 10 weeks | 344.68 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 327.29 | 3 in 10 weeks | 342.20 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 329.50 | 4 in 10 weeks | 339.90 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GD's daily swings (about 1.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among GD's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 465.00 +38.3% |
| Mean analyst target | 413.11 +22.9% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 10, 2026 |
394.06 +17.2% |
| 50-day average | 358.37 +6.6% |
| 200-day average | 351.55 +4.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 342.20 +1.8% |
| Now | 336.14 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
334.66 -0.4% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 327.29 -2.6% |
| Lowest analyst target | 319.00 -5.1% |
| 52-week closing low Apr 27, 2026 |
309.66 -7.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 65 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.