GDDY
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- GDDY +3.35% on the last session vs SPY +0.12%: +3.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (+3.3% today so far, past its big-gain line of +2.2%): After its 62 big gains in the past 5 years, GDDY was higher a month later 36 times out of 62; half the outcomes fell between -5.4% and +7.6%. History, not a forecast.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GDDY only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
106.62 +3.2% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
110.80 +7.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 106.82 · prior close 103.36 | |
| Bargain buy side |
100.20 -3.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
96.42 -6.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 99.19 | 2 in 10 days | 107.71 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 100.20 | 3 in 10 days | 106.62 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 101.14 | 4 in 10 days | 105.63 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 94.26 | 2 in 10 weeks | 113.33 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 96.42 | 3 in 10 weeks | 110.80 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 98.47 | 4 in 10 weeks | 108.49 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GDDY's daily swings (about 3.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among GDDY's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jan 28, 2025 |
214.35 +100.7% |
| Highest analyst target | 170.00 +59.1% |
| 52-week closing high Nov 4, 2025 |
135.18 +26.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 110.80 +3.7% |
| Now | 106.82 |
| Mean analyst target | 106.75 -0.1% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
103.36 -3.2% |
| 50-day average | 98.05 -8.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 96.42 -9.7% |
| 200-day average | 92.32 -13.6% |
| Lowest analyst target | 76.00 -28.9% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 22, 2026 |
74.99 -29.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 12 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.