GEF-B
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GEF-B only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
116.74 +1.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
118.78 +3.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 115.11 | |
| Bargain buy side |
113.51 -1.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
111.56 -3.1% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 112.99 | 2 in 10 days | 117.27 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 113.51 | 3 in 10 days | 116.74 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 113.99 | 4 in 10 days | 116.24 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 110.43 | 2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18% | 119.99 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 111.56 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27% | 118.78 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 112.62 | 4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43% | 117.65 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GEF-B's daily swings (about 1.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among GEF-B's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 118.78 +3.2% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 27, 2026 |
116.57 +1.3% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
115.11 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 111.56 -3.1% |
| 50-day average | 108.74 -5.5% |
| 200-day average | 92.50 -19.6% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 4, 2025 |
56.34 -51.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 23 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.