GEHC
Moving with its group (XLV +2.8%)
- GEHC +2.82% on the last session vs SPY +0.04%: +2.8 pts of stock-specific move.
- The health care ETF (XLV) +2.8% (+2.7 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, big gain (+2.8% today so far, past its big-gain line of +2.3%): After its 42 big gains in the past 5 years, GEHC was higher a month later 24 times out of 42; half the outcomes fell between -3.2% and +5.1%. History, not a forecast.
- 3 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: Citigroup maintained Neutral, lowered target $75.00 → $71.00.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GEHC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
69.55 +1.6% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
70.91 +3.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 70.40 · prior close 68.47 | |
| Bargain buy side |
67.41 -1.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
66.12 -3.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 67.07 | 2 in 10 days | 69.90 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 67.41 | 3 in 10 days | 69.55 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 67.73 | 4 in 10 days | 69.22 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 65.37 | 2 in 10 weeks | 71.72 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 66.12 | 3 in 10 weeks | 70.91 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 66.82 | 4 in 10 weeks | 70.16 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GEHC's daily swings (about 1.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among GEHC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 96.00 +36.4% |
| All-time closing high Sep 30, 2024 |
93.51 +32.8% |
| 52-week closing high Jan 8, 2026 |
88.03 +25.0% |
| Mean analyst target | 82.90 +17.8% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 70.91 +0.7% |
| 200-day average | 70.50 +0.1% |
| Now | 70.40 |
| Lowest analyst target | 70.00 -0.6% |
| 50-day average | 68.61 -2.5% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
68.47 -2.7% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 66.12 -6.1% |
| 52-week closing low Apr 29, 2026 |
59.45 -15.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 4 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.