GEN
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- GEN +2.88% on the last session vs SPY +0.01%: +2.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (+2.9% today so far, past its big-gain line of +2.1%): After its 68 big gains in the past 5 years, GEN was higher a day later 28 times out of 68; half the outcomes fell between -0.9% and +0.8%. History, not a forecast.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GEN only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
24.56 +3.2% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
25.54 +7.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 24.49 · prior close 23.80 | |
| Bargain buy side |
23.06 -3.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
22.17 -6.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 22.82 | 2 in 10 days | 24.82 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 23.06 | 3 in 10 days | 24.56 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 23.28 | 4 in 10 days | 24.33 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 21.67 | 2 in 10 weeks | 26.14 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 22.17 | 3 in 10 weeks | 25.54 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 22.65 | 4 in 10 weeks | 25.00 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GEN's daily swings (about 3.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among GEN's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 46.00 +87.9% |
| Mean analyst target | 32.56 +33.0% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Sep 14, 2026 |
31.41 +28.3% |
| 50-day average | 27.22 +11.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 25.54 +4.3% |
| Lowest analyst target | 25.00 +2.1% |
| Now | 24.49 |
| 200-day average | 24.24 -1.0% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
23.80 -2.8% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 22.17 -9.4% |
| 52-week closing low Apr 10, 2026 |
17.72 -27.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 37 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.