GEV
Moving with its ai servers & data centers peers
- GEV −2.30% on the last session vs SPY +0.12%: −2.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- AI servers & data centers basket -5.1% (-5.2 pts vs SPY; DELL -7.6%, VRT -5.8%, HPE -5.6%, SMCI -4.2%): the stock moved with its peers.
- Aftermath, big drop (Oct 14): After its 26 big drops in the past 5 years, GEV was higher a day later 11 times out of 26; half the outcomes fell between -1.8% and +2.2%. History, not a forecast.
- 3 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 2 negative); latest: Susquehanna maintained Positive, lowered target $1,300 → $1,270.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 2.7× its 20-day average.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GEV only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
967.79 +2.8% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
1,000.93 +6.3% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 920.10 · prior close 941.78 | |
| Bargain buy side |
916.47 -2.7% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
886.13 -5.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 908.40 | 2 in 10 days | 976.39 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 916.47 | 3 in 10 days | 967.79 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 924.06 | 4 in 10 days | 959.84 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 868.77 | 2 in 10 weeks | 1,020.93 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 886.13 | 3 in 10 weeks | 1,000.93 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 902.62 | 4 in 10 weeks | 982.64 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GEV's daily swings (about 2.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | -8.6% | +8.2% | +14.8% | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | -4.4% | +3.3% | +5.5% | — |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -6.9% | -7.7% | -7.9% | — |
| Jul 22, 2026 | -8.7% | -8.6% | -1.9% | — |
| Jul 13, 2026 | -4.5% | +3.5% | -2.9% | -3.6% |
| Jul 1, 2026 | -3.4% | -5.2% | -12.7% | -16.2% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | -8.2% | +13.5% | -0.4% | -8.2% |
| Jun 10, 2026 | -5.8% | +21.0% | +20.3% | +6.6% |
Big drop and big gain: among GEV's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 1,450.00 +57.6% |
| Mean analyst target | 1,223.98 +33.0% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 30, 2026 |
1,174.86 +27.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 1,000.93 +8.8% |
| 50-day average | 965.29 +4.9% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
941.78 +2.4% |
| Lowest analyst target | 940.00 +2.2% |
| 200-day average | 931.95 +1.3% |
| Now | 920.10 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 886.13 -3.7% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 4, 2025 |
546.95 -40.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 3 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.