GLNG
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- GLNG −3.04% on the last session vs SPY +0.04%: −3.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GLNG only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
46.77 +1.6% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
47.70 +3.6% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 44.63 · prior close 46.03 | |
| Bargain buy side |
45.30 -1.6% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
44.42 -3.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 45.07 | 2 in 10 days | 47.01 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 45.30 | 3 in 10 days | 46.77 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 45.52 | 4 in 10 days | 46.54 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 43.91 | 2 in 10 weeks | 48.26 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 44.42 | 3 in 10 weeks | 47.70 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 44.90 | 4 in 10 weeks | 47.19 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GLNG's daily swings (about 1.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | -2.7% | -0.2% | -6.7% | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | -2.4% | +3.6% | -4.1% | — |
| Jul 24, 2026 | -2.4% | +1.1% | +6.2% | — |
| Jul 15, 2026 | -2.3% | -1.9% | +1.0% | -4.9% |
| Jun 16, 2026 | -3.1% | +0.5% | +0.1% | +2.0% |
| May 21, 2026 | -5.7% | -4.9% | -1.6% | -0.1% |
| May 6, 2026 | -4.3% | +3.7% | -6.8% | -6.2% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | -2.7% | +1.5% | +9.5% | -3.7% |
Big drop and big gain: among GLNG's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Sep 19, 2014 |
57.59 +29.0% |
| 52-week closing high May 12, 2026 |
56.80 +27.3% |
| 50-day average | 50.46 +13.1% |
| 200-day average | 48.71 +9.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 47.70 +6.9% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
46.03 +3.1% |
| Now | 44.63 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 44.42 -0.5% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 24, 2025 |
34.80 -22.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 23 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.