GLW
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- GLW −3.57% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: −3.7 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (-3.6% today so far, past its big-drop line of -3.3%): After its 70 big drops in the past 5 years, GLW was higher a month later 44 times out of 70; half the outcomes fell between -4.1% and +10.7%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: UBS maintained Buy, raised target $196 → $201.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 1.6× its 20-day average.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GLW only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
147.04 +4.4% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
155.01 +10.0% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 135.87 · prior close 140.89 | |
| Bargain buy side |
135.00 -4.2% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% reached today |
128.06 -9.1% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 133.14 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 149.09 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 135.00 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 147.04 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 136.76 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 145.15 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 124.15 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 159.89 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 128.06 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 155.01 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 131.82 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 150.59 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GLW's daily swings (about 4.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | -3.4% | -13.7% | — | — |
| Sep 23, 2026 | -3.3% | -0.5% | — | — |
| Sep 10, 2026 | -3.2% | -9.4% | -3.9% | — |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -7.7% | -8.0% | -7.4% | — |
| Aug 10, 2026 | -4.8% | +9.8% | +7.0% | — |
| Jul 24, 2026 | -6.0% | -5.7% | -0.8% | — |
| Jul 15, 2026 | -7.1% | -11.7% | -9.1% | -14.7% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -4.8% | +1.2% | -15.5% | -13.9% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among GLW's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 29, 2026 |
255.21 +87.8% |
| Highest analyst target | 238.00 +75.2% |
| Mean analyst target | 187.71 +38.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 155.01 +14.1% |
| 50-day average | 154.78 +13.9% |
| 200-day average | 153.02 +12.6% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
140.89 +3.7% |
| Now | 135.87 |
| Lowest analyst target | 129.00 -5.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 128.06 -5.7% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 20, 2025 |
77.62 -42.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 45 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.