GOOG
Moving with the market
- GOOG +0.47% on the last session vs SPY +0.06%: +0.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, mention spike (trendy) (Oct 9): After its 86 mention spikes in the past 5 years, GOOG was higher a month later 53 times out of 86; half the outcomes fell between -4.9% and +8.4%. History, not a forecast.
- 56 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 68% positive over the week.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (2 positive, 0 negative); latest: UBS maintained Neutral, raised target $379 → $380.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GOOG only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
348.32 +1.4% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
354.18 +3.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 345.26 · prior close 343.65 | |
| Bargain buy side |
339.04 -1.3% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
333.43 -3.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 337.56 | 2 in 10 days | 349.85 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 339.04 | 3 in 10 days | 348.32 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 340.43 | 4 in 10 days | 346.90 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 330.18 | 2 in 10 weeks | 357.67 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 333.43 | 3 in 10 weeks | 354.18 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 336.49 | 4 in 10 weeks | 350.96 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GOOG's daily swings (about 1.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among GOOG's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 485.00 +40.5% |
| Mean analyst target | 420.43 +21.8% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high May 13, 2026 |
398.54 +15.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 354.18 +2.6% |
| Now | 345.26 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
343.65 -0.5% |
| 50-day average | 341.75 -1.0% |
| Lowest analyst target | 340.00 -1.5% |
| 200-day average | 338.67 -1.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 333.43 -3.4% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 14, 2025 |
245.55 -28.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 22 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.