GOOGL
Moving with the market
- GOOGL +0.39% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +0.3 pts of stock-specific move.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Wells Fargo maintained Overweight, raised target $411 → $417.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GOOGL only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
352.49 +1.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
358.58 +3.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 349.01 · prior close 347.64 | |
| Bargain buy side |
342.86 -1.4% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
337.04 -3.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 341.32 | 2 in 10 days | 354.08 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 342.86 | 3 in 10 days | 352.49 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 344.30 | 4 in 10 days | 351.01 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 333.66 | 2 in 10 weeks | 362.20 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 337.04 | 3 in 10 weeks | 358.58 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 340.21 | 4 in 10 weeks | 355.23 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GOOGL's daily swings (about 1.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among GOOGL's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 515.00 +47.6% |
| Mean analyst target | 429.47 +23.1% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high May 13, 2026 |
402.12 +15.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 358.58 +2.7% |
| Now | 349.01 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
347.64 -0.4% |
| 50-day average | 344.83 -1.2% |
| 200-day average | 340.42 -2.5% |
| Lowest analyst target | 340.00 -2.6% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 337.04 -3.4% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 14, 2025 |
244.81 -29.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 22 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.