GPN

Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet

• GPN −2.38% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −3.1 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, rsi oversold (Oct 2): After its 14 oversold readings in the past 5 years, GPN typically gained 1.2% over the next week (median) and was higher 71% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -0.5% and +3.0%. An ordinary week: -0.1%. Among S&P 500 stocks after oversold readings, that ranks #118 of 496.
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.