GRMN
Up more than its consumer devices peers
- GRMN +2.82% on the last session vs SPY +0.06%: +2.8 pts of stock-specific move.
- More than its group: its consumer devices peers +0.9% (+0.8 pts vs SPY).
- Aftermath, big gain (+2.8% today so far, past its big-gain line of +2.0%): After its 61 big gains in the past 5 years, GRMN was higher a month later 44 times out of 61; half the outcomes fell between -0.5% and +8.2%. History, not a forecast.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GRMN only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
284.67 +1.8% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
290.91 +4.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 287.60 · prior close 279.72 | |
| Bargain buy side |
274.86 -1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
268.96 -3.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 273.29 | 2 in 10 days | 286.30 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 274.86 | 3 in 10 days | 284.67 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 276.32 | 4 in 10 days | 283.16 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 265.56 | 2 in 10 weeks | 294.64 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 268.96 | 3 in 10 weeks | 290.91 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 272.17 | 4 in 10 weeks | 287.48 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GRMN's daily swings (about 1.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among GRMN's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 370.00 +28.7% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 10, 2026 |
311.95 +8.5% |
| Mean analyst target | 302.00 +5.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 290.91 +1.2% |
| Now | 287.60 |
| 50-day average | 286.29 -0.5% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
279.72 -2.7% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 268.96 -6.5% |
| 200-day average | 247.96 -13.8% |
| Lowest analyst target | 231.00 -19.7% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 20, 2025 |
184.06 -36.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 26 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.