GS
Moving with the market
- GS +0.31% on the last session vs SPY +0.08%: +0.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Reported 3Q2026 Oct 13 before the open: EPS $17.01 vs $13.09 expected (beat, +$3.92, +30.0%); revenue $18.7B (+10.6% beat). The stock moved -0.2% on Tue's session (-0.2 pts vs SPY).
- Guidance: GS reported Q3 2026 results but provided no forward guidance for upcoming quarters or fiscal year. (release)
- Aftermath, earnings beat (Oct 13): After its 16 earnings beats in the past 5 years, GS was higher a week later 10 times out of 16; half the outcomes fell between -0.8% and +4.5%. History, not a forecast.
- 0 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 65% positive over the week · today's pace is 2.0× its recent daily average.
- 6 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 5 negative); latest: Citigroup maintained Neutral, lowered target $1,050 → $1,000.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GS only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
891.39 +1.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
907.30 +3.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 881.43 · prior close 878.72 | |
| Bargain buy side |
866.23 -1.4% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
851.04 -3.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 862.21 | 2 in 10 days | 895.54 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 866.23 | 3 in 10 days | 891.39 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 869.99 | 4 in 10 days | 887.53 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 842.24 | 2 in 10 weeks | 916.78 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 851.04 | 3 in 10 weeks | 907.30 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 859.33 | 4 in 10 weeks | 898.55 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GS's daily swings (about 1.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among GS's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 1,250.00 +41.8% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jul 15, 2026 |
1,146.46 +30.1% |
| Mean analyst target | 1,037.19 +17.7% |
| 50-day average | 975.85 +10.7% |
| 200-day average | 952.57 +8.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 907.30 +2.9% |
| Now | 881.43 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
878.72 -0.3% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 851.04 -3.4% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 22, 2025 |
730.24 -17.2% |
| Lowest analyst target | 730.00 -17.2% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 27 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.