GSAT
Moving with the market
- GSAT +0.27% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +0.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices GSAT only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
82.82 +0.5% reached 3 in 10 days |
83.35 +1.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 82.62 · prior close 82.40 | |
| Bargain buy side |
81.98 -0.5% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
81.46 -1.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 81.84 | 2 in 10 days | 82.96 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 81.98 | 3 in 10 days | 82.82 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 82.11 | 4 in 10 days | 82.70 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 81.15 | 2 in 10 weeks | 83.66 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 81.46 | 3 in 10 weeks | 83.35 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 81.74 | 4 in 10 weeks | 83.06 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From GSAT's daily swings (about 0.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among GSAT's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Nov 2, 2006 |
262.80 +218.1% |
| 52-week closing high May 28, 2026 |
84.43 +2.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 83.35 +0.9% |
| Now | 82.62 |
| 50-day average | 82.58 -0.1% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
82.40 -0.3% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 81.46 -1.4% |
| 200-day average | 74.86 -9.4% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 29, 2025 |
41.54 -49.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 20 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.