GWW

Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet

• GWW −0.11% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −0.8 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, big gain (Oct 1): After its 59 big gains in the past 5 years, GWW typically gained 2.7% over the next month (median) and was higher 64% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -1.5% and +6.9%. An ordinary month: +1.8%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big gains, that ranks #108 of 500.
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.