HON
Moving with the market
- HON −0.07% on the last session vs SPY +0.12%: −0.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Oct 22 before the open: EPS $2.16 expected (18 analysts); it moved ±5.3% on average after its last 8 reports.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: JP Morgan maintained Overweight, lowered target $255 → $240.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices HON only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
210.01 +1.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
213.02 +2.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 207.47 · prior close 207.61 | |
| Bargain buy side |
205.24 -1.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
202.34 -2.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 204.47 | 2 in 10 days | 210.80 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 205.24 | 3 in 10 days | 210.01 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 205.95 | 4 in 10 days | 209.28 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 200.65 | 2 in 10 weeks | 214.81 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 202.34 | 3 in 10 weeks | 213.02 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 203.92 | 4 in 10 weeks | 211.37 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From HON's daily swings (about 1.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among HON's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 303.00 +46.0% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Mar 2, 2026 |
257.94 +24.3% |
| Mean analyst target | 257.61 +24.2% |
| 200-day average | 229.14 +10.4% |
| 50-day average | 214.96 +3.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 213.02 +2.7% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
207.61 +0.1% |
| Now | 207.47 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 202.34 -2.5% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 20, 2025 |
194.68 -6.2% |
| Lowest analyst target | 186.00 -10.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 65 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.