HONA
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- HONA +3.22% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +3.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: TD Cowen maintained Hold, lowered target $180 → $170.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices HONA only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
161.03 +2.7% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
166.52 +6.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 161.78 · prior close 156.73 | |
| Bargain buy side |
152.54 -2.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
147.52 -5.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 151.20 | 2 in 10 days | 162.46 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 152.54 | 3 in 10 days | 161.03 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 153.80 | 4 in 10 days | 159.72 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 144.64 | 2 in 10 weeks | 169.83 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 147.52 | 3 in 10 weeks | 166.52 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 150.25 | 4 in 10 weeks | 163.49 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From HONA's daily swings (about 2.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among HONA's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 16, 2026 |
269.95 +66.9% |
| Highest analyst target | 256.00 +58.2% |
| Mean analyst target | 201.87 +24.8% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 166.52 +2.9% |
| Now | 161.78 |
| 50-day average | 160.16 -1.0% |
| Lowest analyst target | 160.00 -1.1% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
156.73 -3.1% |
| 52-week closing low Sep 9, 2026 |
151.58 -6.3% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 147.52 -8.8% |
Closing prices. Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.