HSIC
Moving with its group (XLV +2.6%)
- HSIC +1.64% on the last session vs SPY +0.04%: +1.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- The health care ETF (XLV) +2.6% (+2.6 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices HSIC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
86.48 +1.1% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
87.63 +2.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 86.96 · prior close 85.56 | |
| Bargain buy side |
84.65 -1.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
83.54 -2.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 84.36 | 2 in 10 days | 86.78 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 84.65 | 3 in 10 days | 86.48 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 84.92 | 4 in 10 days | 86.20 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 82.89 | 2 in 10 weeks | 88.32 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 83.54 | 3 in 10 weeks | 87.63 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 84.14 | 4 in 10 weeks | 87.00 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From HSIC's daily swings (about 1.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among HSIC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 110.00 +26.5% |
| Mean analyst target | 97.27 +11.8% |
| All-time closing high Apr 13, 2022 |
91.96 +5.7% |
| 52-week closing high Sep 3, 2026 |
90.86 +4.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 87.63 +0.8% |
| 50-day average | 87.42 +0.5% |
| Now | 86.96 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
85.56 -1.6% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 83.54 -3.9% |
| 200-day average | 80.62 -7.3% |
| Lowest analyst target | 64.00 -26.4% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 16, 2025 |
62.03 -28.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 31 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.