IAG
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices IAG only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
16.01 +3.6% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% reached today |
16.73 +8.3% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 16.01 · prior close 15.45 | |
| Bargain buy side |
14.91 -3.5% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
14.27 -7.7% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 14.74 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 16.20 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 14.91 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 16.01 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 15.07 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 15.84 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 13.90 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 17.17 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 14.27 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 16.73 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 14.62 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 16.33 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From IAG's daily swings (about 3.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | -7.9% | +1.9% | — | — |
| Oct 14, 2026 | -6.7% | +4.5% | — | — |
| Sep 23, 2026 | -4.8% | -7.4% | -17.4% | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | -4.4% | -0.5% | -9.5% | — |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -4.5% | +21.9% | +10.8% | — |
| Jul 16, 2026 | -5.3% | +3.7% | +28.9% | +20.1% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -4.1% | -5.6% | +0.1% | +16.1% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | -4.0% | -6.0% | -11.4% | +20.6% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among IAG's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Feb 27, 2026 |
24.57 +53.4% |
| 50-day average | 18.98 +18.5% |
| 200-day average | 18.34 +14.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 16.73 +4.5% |
| Now | 16.01 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
15.45 -3.5% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 14.27 -10.9% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 4, 2025 |
10.96 -31.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 23 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.