IBM
International Business Machines · Technology · Information Technology Services
$222.64
-1.32% today · -1.27% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- IBM −1.32% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −2.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (Oct 1): After its 70 big gains in the past 5 years, IBM typically gained 2.2% over the next month (median) and was higher 61% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -3.3% and +8.6%. An ordinary month: +1.5%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big gains, that ranks #166 of 500.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Oct 21
After the close · in 17 days
EPS estimate
$2.87
$2.75 to $3.12 · 19 analysts
Revenue estimate
$16.8B
$16.7B to $17.1B
Track record
7/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±6.0% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 AMC | 2Q2026 | $2.93 | $2.93 | −$0.00 (−0.1%) in line | $17.2B | +0.4% +1.7 vs SPY | -1.5% | +10.1% |
| Apr 22, 2026 AMC | 1Q2026 | $1.81 | $1.91 | +$0.10 (+5.5%) beat | $15.9B | -8.2% -7.9 vs SPY | -7.8% | -9.8% |
| Jan 28, 2026 AMC | 4Q2025 | $4.29 | $4.52 | +$0.23 (+5.3%) beat | $19.7B | +5.1% +5.3 vs SPY | +8.1% | -1.7% |
| Oct 22, 2025 AMC | 3Q2025 | $2.45 | $2.65 | +$0.20 (+8.3%) beat | $16.3B | -0.9% -1.5 vs SPY | -7.8% | +7.2% |
| Jul 23, 2025 AMC | $2.65 | $2.80 | +$0.15 (+5.7%) beat | — | -7.6% -7.7 vs SPY | -7.4% | -7.7% | |
| Apr 23, 2025 AMC | $1.43 | $1.60 | +$0.17 (+11.9%) beat | — | -6.6% -8.7 vs SPY | -5.8% | -1.5% | |
| Jan 29, 2025 AMC | $3.78 | $3.92 | +$0.14 (+3.7%) beat | — | +13.0% +12.4 vs SPY | +9.3% | +15.2% | |
| Oct 23, 2024 AMC | $2.23 | $2.30 | +$0.07 (+3.1%) beat | — | -6.2% -6.4 vs SPY | -5.1% | -12.0% | |
| Jul 24, 2024 AMC | $2.17 | $2.43 | +$0.26 (+12.0%) beat | — | +4.3% +4.8 vs SPY | +1.5% | +4.4% | |
| Apr 24, 2024 AMC | $1.60 | $1.68 | +$0.08 (+5.0%) beat | — | -8.2% -7.9 vs SPY | -8.6% | -10.7% | |
| Jan 24, 2024 AMC | $3.80 | $3.87 | +$0.07 (+1.8%) beat | — | +9.5% +8.9 vs SPY | +6.3% | +5.6% | |
| Oct 25, 2023 AMC | $2.13 | $2.20 | +$0.07 (+3.3%) beat | — | +4.9% +6.1 vs SPY | +3.7% | +6.1% | |
| Jul 19, 2023 AMC | $2.00 | $2.18 | +$0.18 (+9.0%) beat | — | +2.1% +2.8 vs SPY | +1.3% | +4.1% | |
| Apr 19, 2023 AMC | $1.24 | $1.36 | +$0.12 (+9.7%) beat | — | 0.0% +0.6 vs SPY | +3.0% | -0.4% | |
| Jan 25, 2023 AMC | $3.61 | $3.60 | −$0.01 (−0.3%) miss | — | -4.5% -5.6 vs SPY | -2.3% | -4.0% | |
| Oct 19, 2022 AMC | $1.80 | $1.81 | +$0.01 (+0.6%) beat | — | +4.7% +5.6 vs SPY | +3.0% | +10.2% | |
| Jul 18, 2022 AMC | $2.29 | $2.31 | +$0.02 (+0.9%) beat | — | -5.2% -8.0 vs SPY | -4.7% | -6.9% | |
| Apr 19, 2022 AMC | $1.42 | $1.40 | −$0.02 (−1.4%) miss | — | +7.1% +7.2 vs SPY | +4.5% | +5.5% | |
| Jan 24, 2022 AMC | $3.29 | $3.35 | +$0.06 (+1.8%) beat | — | +5.7% +6.9 vs SPY | +0.2% | +3.7% | |
| Oct 20, 2021 AMC | $2.51 | $2.52 | +$0.01 (+0.4%) beat | — | -9.6% -9.8 vs SPY | -5.9% | -11.8% | |
| Jul 19, 2021 AMC | $2.29 | $2.33 | +$0.04 (+1.7%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 19, 2021 AMC | $1.65 | $1.77 | +$0.12 (+7.3%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Jan 21, 2021 AMC | $1.88 | $2.07 | +$0.19 (+10.1%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Oct 19, 2020 AMC | $2.58 | $2.58 | $0.00 (0.0%) in line | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $2.87 (19) | $2.75 – $3.12 | +8% | -2.0% | ▲0 ▼2 | $16.8B | +3% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $4.62 (18) | $4.41 – $4.77 | +2% | +1.0% | ▲2 ▼0 | $20.5B | +4% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $12.31 (23) | $12.08 – $12.63 | +6% | -1.2% | ▲0 ▼1 | $70.4B | +4% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $13.15 (23) | $12.30 – $13.86 | +7% | -2.3% | ▲11 ▼10 | $73.1B | +4% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.