IDXX
Moving with its group (XLV +2.7%)
- IDXX +2.66% on the last session vs SPY +0.03%: +2.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- The health care ETF (XLV) +2.7% (+2.7 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, big gain (+2.7% today so far, past its big-gain line of +2.0%): After its 56 big gains in the past 5 years, IDXX was higher a day later 21 times out of 56; half the outcomes fell between -1.2% and +0.6%. History, not a forecast.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices IDXX only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
536.39 +1.4% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
545.65 +3.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 543.08 · prior close 529.01 | |
| Bargain buy side |
521.73 -1.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
512.88 -3.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 519.39 | 2 in 10 days | 538.81 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 521.73 | 3 in 10 days | 536.39 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 523.93 | 4 in 10 days | 534.14 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 507.74 | 2 in 10 weeks | 551.17 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 512.88 | 3 in 10 weeks | 545.65 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 517.71 | 4 in 10 weeks | 540.56 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From IDXX's daily swings (about 1.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among IDXX's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 805.00 +48.2% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Nov 25, 2025 |
766.68 +41.2% |
| Mean analyst target | 701.33 +29.1% |
| 200-day average | 580.26 +6.8% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 545.65 +0.5% |
| Now | 543.08 |
| 50-day average | 535.76 -1.3% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
529.01 -2.6% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 512.88 -5.6% |
| 52-week closing low Sep 11, 2026 |
504.70 -7.1% |
| Lowest analyst target | 470.00 -13.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 35 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.